Long-term Modeled Projections of the Energy Sector (Springer Geophysics)

能源部门长期模型预测:逐步缩小不确定性范围的增量方法

工业经济学

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作      者
出  版 社
出版时间
2021年01月16日
装      帧
平装
ISBN
9783030305352
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语      种
英文
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图书简介
This book covers available approaches to improving the performance and impact of long-term projections of the national energy sector development. In turn, it introduces an original multi-stage approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range of the input data and resulting projections. Its unique contribution is that it limits the scope for each of the projection timeframe segments step-by-step. This is done in the course of iterative calculations, which employ dedicated methods and other tools to elucidate and solve top-priority problems specific to each time segment. In closing, the book provides a detailed treatment of two essential research problems: 1) long-term forecasting for regional energy markets, and 2) the quantitative assessment of a) the barriers that are likely to hinder energy sector development and b) strategic-level energy security threats.
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