图书简介
The future of active asset allocation is changing. Whereas historically alpha was considered the cornerstone of successful wealth management, factors such as the growing globalisation of capital flows; the emergence of new markets and investment products; the change in the platforms on which trading/investment takes place; the proliferation of structured instruments and derivatives; and the recent financial crisis and ongoing turbulence in the Eurozone have meant that much of the traditional doctrines of portfolio construction and asset allocation have become obsolete and have lead some analysts to suggest that alpha is dead. Instead of placing emphasis on seeking alpha, success in todays financial environment requires more attention to global macro correlations, beta correlations and the avoidance of the consequences of tail risk. In Tail Risk and Asset Allocation respected advisor and trainer, Clive Corcoran, shows investors and traders how to manage a stable and profitable portfolio by taking in to account tail risk and focusing on global macro and beta correlations. It begins with a general introduction to traditional portfolio theory, covering the notions of alpha and beta, before moving on to an overview of the global macro style of asset allocation covering the major macro market influences such as geo-political events, the activities of supra-national bodies, monetary policy. It defines tail risk and provides quantitative methods for determining the level of macro or systematic risk in the financial environment, presenting techniques that address the dichotomy of risk on/risk off. Instead of looking at assets in isolation it illustrates the manner in which most asset classes, to a much greater extent than previously, are correlated, presenting both challenges, such as enhanced liquidity risk and flash crashes, and opportunities, such as increased returns, to investors and traders. Clive provides a robust framework for revealing underlying correlations between major asset classes including FX, fixed income instruments, commodities and global equity indices, and covers all aspects of risk - liquidity risk, volatility risk, sovereign risk, correlation risk, currency exposure and macro liquidity. Asset Managers and Traders will be better able to identify possible tail risk events, and with valuable clues as to whether the financial economy either supports taking on more risk and higher beta assets, or points to risk avoidance, defensive positioning and possibly shorting beta as a more suitable strategy, will be better equipped to build robust and profitable portfolios. The book includes many real world trading charts and examples, as well as a detailed case study of the May 2010 flash crash.
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