图书简介

I. Science and Philosophy; 1 Metascience and Better Science; 2 Do We Need Causation in Science?; 3 Evidence of Causation is Not Causation; II. Perfect Correlation; 4 What s in a Correlation?; 5 Same Cause, Same Effect; 6 Under Ideal Conditions; 7 One Effect, One Cause?; III. Interference and Prevention; 8 Have Your Cause and Beat It; 9 From Regularities to Tendencies; 10 The Modality of Causation; IV. Causal Mechanisms; 11 Is the Business of Science to Construct Theories?; 12 Is More Data Better?; 13 The Explanatory Power of Mechanisms; 14 Digging Deeper to Find the Real Causes?; V. Linking Causes to Effects; 15 Making a Difference; 16 Making Nothing Happen; 17 It All Started With a Big Bang; 18 Does Science Need Laws of Nature?; VI. Probability; 19 Uncertainty, Certainty and Beyond; 20 What Probabilistic Causation Should Be; 21 Calculating Conditional Probability?; VII. External Validity; 22 Risky Predictions; 23 What RCTs Do Not Show; VIII. Discovering Causes and Understanding Them; 24 Getting Involved; 25 Uncovering Causal Powers; 26 Learning From Causal Failure; 27 Plural Methods, One Causation; 28 Getting Real About the Ideals of Science; Conclusion: New Norms of Science

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