Chance rules our daily lives in many different ways. From the outcomes of the lottery to the outcomes of medical tests, from the basketball court to the court of law. The ways of chance are capricious. Bizarre things happen all the time. Nevertheless, chance has a logic of its own. It obeys the rules of probability. But if you open a standard book on probability, you may very well feel far removed from everyday life. Abstract formulas and mathematical symbols stare back at you with almost every turn of the page. This book introduces you to the logic of chance without the use of mathematical formulas or symbols. In Part One, you will meet the fascinating pioneers of the mathematics of probability, including Galileo Galilei and Blaise Pascal. Their stories will introduce you, step by step, to the basics of probability. In Part Two, various examples in all areas of daily life will show you how chance defies our expectations time and again. But armed with the basic rules of probability and a good dose of inventiveness, you will be able to unravel the counter-intuitive logic of chance. Key Features: o It is a very basic introduction to probability written without mathematical symbols or formulas, intended for a wide audience from non-specialists to experts o It treats some basic concepts and elementary rules of probability in an everyday setting o It introduces the reader to the pioneers of probability theory and tells the story of its origin o It introduces the reader to the counterintuitive logic of the way chance operates o The book contributes to developing statistical literacy o The book can also be used for teaching purposes

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